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- š° Maniac Minute: The Trump Put Strikes Again
š° Maniac Minute: The Trump Put Strikes Again
President Trump said he has āno intentionā of firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell and hinted that tariffs on China could ease. All traders heard was āTrump Putā and sprinted back into risk assets.
Good morning, Maniacs!
Markets roared back last week, clawing out of the tariff hole and reminding investors that earningsāand a little Washington pivotāstill matter.
After a rocky Monday in the red, it was risk-on for four straight days, with tech leading the charge. The Nasdaq jumped nearly 7%, and even Bitcoin finally woke up.
This week? Itās a heavyweight lineup. Over 180 S&P 500 companies report earnings, including four of the Magnificent 7 and Berkshire Hathaway. Plus, weāre getting a full check-up on jobs, inflation, and consumer spending.
And if youāre not sold on a full U.S. comeback just yet, weāve got a guide below on how to tap into global markets.
Letās dive in!

Market Recap š
Markets snapped back hard this week, clawing back almost everything lost since the April 2nd tariff shock.
The S&P 500 surged over 4%, the Nasdaq jumped nearly 7%, and even Bitcoin finally joined the party. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields and oil prices pulled backāboth good signs for inflationāand gold held firm near its highs.
At the heart of the rebound? A one-two punch of strong earnings and a pivot from Washington.
So far, 36% of S&P 500 companies have reported Q1 results. Only 73% have beaten earnings estimatesāslightly below the 5- and 10-year averagesābut those that are beating are smashing expectations by 10% on average, well above typical levels.
In other words: fewer but bigger beats. It's driving positive momentumāand reminding investors that not every company is caught in the tariff crossfire.
Meanwhile, President Trump said he has āno intentionā of firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell and hinted that tariffs on China could ease. All traders heard was āTrump Putā and sprinted back into risk assets.
Even China extended a small olive branch, exempting some U.S. goods like pharmaceuticals from its steep retaliatory tariffs. Despite Beijing denying that negotiations are underway, the move offered a sliver of hope for a trade deal.
As Piper Sandlerās chief investment strategist put it: āWe donāt think we're out of the woodsāābut markets are starting to see a clearing.
Is this rebound the real deal? |

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Winners & Losers š
From robotaxis to battlefield AI, this week was all about future betsāand a few very real stumbles in todayās earnings reports.
Winners
1. Palantir ($PLTR) ā Market Cap: $253.6B (+20.3%)
Defense stocks love a good government dealāand $PLTR ( ā² 6.95% ) just landed two. NATO announced it will deploy Palantirās new AI system for real-time battlefield planning. Plus, the company partnered with Google Cloud to supercharge its FedStart platform for U.S. agencies.
Momentum traders are betting the stock could reclaim its February high around $125. But at an absurd 570x price-to-earnings ratio, there's still plenty of "priced for perfection" risk baked in.
2. Tesla ($TSLA) ā Market Cap: $917.8B (+18.1%)
Despite one of the worst quarterly earnings reports in its history, $TSLA ( ā² 2.39% ) notched its best weekly gain since Novemberāthanks to a flurry of good news.
First, investors cheered Elonās promise to refocus on Tesla, a welcome shift after his brand-damaging stint at DOGE. Then, the Department of Transportation unveiled a new regulatory framework for self-driving cars, opening the door for Teslaās robotaxi plans to accelerate.
Losers
1. T-Mobile ($TMUS) ā Market Cap: $298.0B (-11.2%)
T-Mobile $TMUS ( ā² 0.76% ) beat estimates, raised guidance, and still got slammed. Why? Because the bar was already on the floor.
Revenue sank 5% year-over-year, and earnings slid alongside it. Postpaid subscriber growth, the lifeblood metric for telecom stocks, also came in lighter than expected.
Making matters worse, the CEO warned that any new tariffs on phones would be passed onto customers, a move that could further dent demand.
2. Fiserv ($FI) ā Market Cap: $97.9B (-14.9%)
Payment processor Fiserv $FI ( ā² 0.74% ) , best known for running systems like Clover, was the biggest drag on the S&P 500 this week.
Profits beat expectations, but slowing merchant activity and weaker revenue growth crushed the stock. Even the announcement of a shiny new fintech acquisition in Brazil couldnāt stop the bleeding.

Going Global: How to Invest Beyond U.S. Borders š
Americaās still a powerhouse, but whispers of āthe end of U.S. exceptionalismā have many investors eyeing opportunities overseas.
If youāre looking to diversify, or just understand how global shifts could impact your portfolio, hereās how to cross the border from your brokerage account:
šÆšµ Country-Specific ETFs
Want to bet on Japanās comeback, Indiaās demographic boom, or Chinaās AI advances? Country-focused funds like $EWJ ( ā² 1.01% ) for Japan, $INDA ( ā² 0.69% ) for India, and $MCHI ( ā² 3.55% ) for China give you targeted access to single economies.
Thesis: With U.S. stocks remaining pricey, undervalued markets like Japan or fast-growing ones like Vietnam could draw attention.
š± Currency ETFs
Think the dollarās due for a dip? Currency ETFs like $FXE ( ā² 0.13% ) for the Euro or $FXY ( ā² 0.43% ) for the Yen let you bet on forex moves without trading forex directly.
Thesis: If the U.S. dollar weakens (say, due to Fed rate cuts or debt concerns), currencies like the euro, yen, or even the Chinese yuan could appreciate on a relative basis.
š Regional & Emerging Market ETFs
Want broader exposure? Consider ETFs like $VWO ( ā² 2.68% ) for emerging markets, $BKF ( ā² 2.13% ) for BIC countries (Brazil, India, and China), or $VEA ( ā² 1.82% ) for non-U.S. developed countries.
Thesis: If global growth picks up, emerging market funds could shine. Meanwhile, developed regions like Europe are still trading at discounts to the S&P 500.
š International Bond ETFs
Chasing yield? Look abroad. Funds like $EMB ( ā¼ 0.27% ) for emerging market bonds and $BNDX ( ā¼ 0.22% ) for non-U.S. developed markets offer income and diversificationāsometimes with juicier payouts than Treasuries.
Thesis: If the Fed cuts U.S. rates, international bonds could attract yield hunters.
ā ļø Heads Up
If your international ETF isnāt currency-hedged, your gains (or losses) will depend partly on exchange rates. Selling means converting back to USDāso a strong dollar can eat into returns, while a weaker one could give you a boost.
Also, international funds tend to carry higher fees and thinner liquidity, so check the fine print before you hop on board.
Bottom Line
The U.S. isnāt the only game in town. Whether you're betting on faster growth, a falling dollar, or simply trying to spread your risk, international ETFs can help you go globalāno passport required.

Worth The Read š
šµ Americans are tipping lessāand eating out lessāas frustration with added fees and service quality hits a boiling point.
š„ Missed goldās rally? Watch silver. History suggests silver tends to follow goldās breakout runs, and it could be primed to outperform from here.
š„ļø 12 undervalued tech stocks to watch. Morningstarās top picks reveal which battered names analysts think could outshine the market from here.
š¦ Hedge funds spark new systemic fears. As shadow banking balloons to $250T globally, some worry heavily-leveraged funds could trigger a 2008-style crisis.
š New Fed research explores the disconnect between gloomy consumer sentiment and strong spending, raising questions about how inflation perception skews the data.
š How tariffs could trigger a summer slowdown. Apolloās data shows supply chains, shipping, and corporate orders are already flashing warning signs.
š£ļø Trumpās first 100 days interview. From tariffs to immigration, Trump defends his expansion of presidential powerāand hints the real economic battle is just beginning.

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The Week Ahead š
More than 180 S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, including four of the Magnificent 7 and Berkshire Hathaway. Plus, new data on jobs, spending, and inflation will offer a full check-up on the economy.
Monday
Earnings from Waste Management and Dominoās Pizza
Tuesday
Earnings from Visa, Coca-Cola, Novartis, Astrazeneca, HSBC, Booking, S&P, Honeywell, Pfizer, Spotify, Altria, Starbucks, Mondelez, UPS, Sherwin-Williams, PayPal, Royal Caribbean, Hilton, FICO, General Motors, Kraft Heinz, Super Micro, First Solar, Snap, SoFi, and Logitech
February Case-Schiller Home Prices (est. 4.8% YoY)
March JOLTs Job Openings (est. 7.5M)
Wednesday
Earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Qualcomm, Caterpillar, ADP, Canadian Pacific, Aflac, MetLife, Allstate, Public Storage, Robinhood, Yum! Brands, Garmin, Prudential, Humana, eBay, Stellantis, Sprouts, and Etsy
Q1 GDP Growth Rate (est. 0.4% QoQ)
March PCE Price Index (est. 0.0% MoM, 2.2% YoY)
March Core PCE Price Index (est. 0.1% MoM, 2.5% YoY)
March Personal Income (est. 0.4% MoM)
March Personal Spending (est. 0.4% MoM)
Thursday
Earnings from Apple, Amazon, Eli Lilly, Mastercard, McDonaldās, Shell, Amgen, KKR, MicroStrategy, CVS, Airbnb, Monster, Roblox, Atlassian, Block, Hershey, Live Nation, Rocket, GoDaddy, Estee Lauder, Reddit, Duolingo, Twilio, Hyatt, Moderna, Roku, SiriusXM, Shake Shack, Wayfair, and Peloton
April ISM Manufacturing PMI (est. 47.9)
Friday
Earnings from Berkshire Hathaway, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Cigna, and Apollo
April Non-Farm Payrolls (est. 130K)
April Unemployment Rate (est. 4.2%)
April Labor Participation Rate (est. 62.5%)

Thatās a wrap! See you next Monday with all the market insights and money tips you need to stay ahead.
Keep stacking,
The Money Maniac šø
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