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- đ° 5 Fact Friday: Quantum Computing Gets A Reality Check
đ° 5 Fact Friday: Quantum Computing Gets A Reality Check
On Wednesday, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declared that âvery useful quantum computersâ are likely 15â30 years away. His words triggered a quantum stock sell-off, with Rigetti Computing (-45%), IonQ (-39%), and D-Wave Quantum (-36%) bearing the brunt of the fallout.
Hey Money Maniacs,
Weâre starting 2025 on a somber note: L.A. wildfires have displaced hundreds of thousands, bird flu claimed its first human casualty, and we mourned the passing of President Carterâthe peanut farmer turned POTUS.
Still, thereâs plenty to unpack in the financial world.
Justin Trudeauâs resignation strengthened the Canadian dollar, Jensen Huang caused a stir at CES, and M&A deals like Getty+Shutterstock and Fubo+Hulu are already picking up.
Buckle upâthereâs a lot to cover!
P.S. Donât miss your chance to vote in our 2025 Prediction Survey. Share your takes on markets, economy, and politicsâand claim your chance to be THE Money Maniac of the year!
MEDIA
1. Disney & Fubo Tie The Knot đ¤
Disney and Fubo are teaming up to create the second-largest online pay-TV platformâbehind only YouTube TV. The merger puts Hulu + Live TV, minus Huluâs on-demand streaming service, under the Fubo umbrella.
Disneyâs game plan? Offload its broad live TV bundle while unlocking Venu Sports, its specialized joint venture with Fox and Warner Bros.
Under the deal, Disney gets roughly 70% of the new company, while Fuboâs management keeps the steering wheel. Fuboâs stock soared over 250% on the newsâan eye-popping reaction for a once-struggling streamer.
Hereâs how it shakes out:
No More Legal Drama: Fubo will settle its antitrust case for a cool $220 million payout from Fox, Warner, and Disney. Plus, Disney is ponying up a $145 million term loan for good measure.
Bigger Together: The merged company will control 6.2 million North American subscribers and $6 billion in revenueâmaking it a serious threat to legacy cable and other streamers.
Still Separate: Youâll continue to see Fubo and Hulu Live as stand-alone services. But behind the scenes, theyâll become one entityâsharing deals on sports rights (yes, ESPN is included) and distribution muscle.
Why it matters:
Traditional TV is hemorrhaging subscribers, and mega-streamers are jockeying for the best sports content. By snapping up a majority stake in Fubo, Disney isnât just hedging against cord-cuttingâitâs doubling down on streaming and sports, the niches with the biggest growth potential.
Some analysts predict this might be the first domino in a 2025 consolidation wave, as other media giants race to keep pace.
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ECONOMY
2. Rising Yields Keep Markets On Edge â ď¸
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 4.73% on Wednesday, its highest mark since April 2024, before settling around 4.69%.
Thatâs more than 100 basis points (1%) above last Septemberâs lowâdespite the Fed cutting short-term rates by a full percentage point.
If you need more proof that demand for Uncle Samâs debt is waning: the latest $38 billion auction of 10-year notes came in at a 4.68% yield, the steepest since 2007. Translation? The price for the government to borrow money is higher than itâs been in years.
Why it matters:
Mortgage Rates: With the benchmark 10-year yield rising, the average 30-year mortgage climbed above 7%, crushing mortgage demand.
Dollar Strength: Higher yields tend to strengthen the greenback, making imports cheaper and exports pricierâpotentially clashing with President Trumpâs manufacturing goals.
Equity Pressure: If you can nab nearly 5% risk-free, thereâs less incentive to chase Tesla at a stratospheric 100x forward P/E. History shows these rate spikes often coincide with market drawdowns.
Bottom line? Yields are the marketâs puppet masterâdictating moves in housing, currencies, and stocks alike.
As Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanleyâs Chief Investment Officer, aptly put it: "The combination of these factors makes rates the most important variable to watch in early 2025."
REAL ESTATE
3. The Hottest Housing Markets Of 2025 đ
If bidding wars are your thing, look no further. Zillowâs latest forecasts show which cities are leading the pack with demand so strong, even rising rates canât cool the fire.
Why these markets? It comes down to a few key drivers:
Jobs vs. Permits: Buffalo has the most new jobs per new home permitted in the country. That means builders are struggling to meet demand, fueling fierce competition and propping up prices. This imbalance keeps Buffalo at #1 for the second straight year.
Inventory Squeeze: Hartfordâs homes sold faster than anywhere else in 2024. Tight inventory pushed buyers to act decisively, supporting home values.
Affordable Alternatives: Providence, Hartford, and Philadelphia are magnets for those escaping sky-high costs in New York and Boston. These cities offer relative affordability without compromising on proximity to major job hubs.
Demographic Shifts: Millennials are flocking to mid-sized cities with job opportunities and cheaper housing. Meanwhile, Boomers are staying put, reducing resale inventory and intensifying demand.
Jobs, affordability, and inventory are the trifecta driving these markets. For buyers and investors, these metros may offer room to growâeven as the broader housing market cools.
MARKETS
4. Quantum Computing Gets A Reality Check đť
In front of 6,000 attendees at the Consumer Electronics Show, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declared that âvery useful quantum computersâ are likely 15â30 years away.
His words triggered a quantum stock sell-off, with Rigetti Computing (-45%), IonQ (-39%), and D-Wave Quantum (-36%) bearing the brunt of the fallout.
Hereâs whatâs happening:
Quantumâs Big Promise: Faster drug discovery, cracking encryption, advanced weather modelingâquantum is supposed to do it all.
The Big Problem: The tech isnât there yet. Scaling qubits (the building blocks of quantum computers) is brutally hard, and error correction is still a giant hurdle.
Not everyoneâs buying Huangâs timeline though. D-Waveâs CEO clapped back, saying theyâre already delivering real-world results.
But investors are skepticalâD-Wave reported less than $2 million in revenue last quarter. Thatâs couch-cushion money compared to Nvidiaâs $35 billion.
As Bairdâs tech strategist Ted Mortonson put it: âThis whole quantum group is in the speculation overexuberance stage.â
Investor Takeaway
Remember that the winners in emerging tech arenât always the first movers. Google wasnât the first search engine, Amazon wasnât the first online retailer, and Facebook wasnât the first social network.
For now, portfolio managers suggest sticking with mega caps like Alphabet, Amazon, and IBMâcompanies with diverse revenue streams and cash to invest in quantum without betting the farm.
Who would you bet on in the quantum race? |
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STOCKS
5. Guess That Stock đľď¸ââď¸
Can you solve this weekâs mystery? Here are five clues about a tech giant making big changes in its marketplace, moderation policies, and political positioning:
1. Despite a high-profile 2021 rebrand focused on immersive tech and virtual connections, advertising still accounts for over 95% of the companyâs revenue.
2. Poised to benefit from a potential TikTok ban, the company is rumored to be mending ties with Trumpâs incoming administration. This may also be damage controlâafter all, the president-elect once labeled it âan enemy of the people.â
3. The business is dropping its fact-checking program for a âcommunity-drivenâ model, mirroring Elon Muskâs strategy on X. Advocates see this as empowering free speech, while critics worry it could fan the flames of misinformation.
4. The company just welcomed UFC CEO Dana White to its board, signaling a push for more balanced leadership.
5. Its marketplace is now testing eBay listings in the U.S. and Europe, as part of a broader effort to comply with EU antitrust mandates.
Got a guess? Tap here to reveal the answer â
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