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š° Last-Minute Tax Moves That Actually Pay Off
Weāre down to the wire. Tax Day hits next Wednesday, and if you havenāt filed yet, this is your last chance to put real money back in your pocket...
Good morning, Maniacs!
It was one of those weeks. Growth slowed, inflation heated up, and markets rallied anyway, thanks to a last-minute ceasefire with Iran.
Stocks, gold, and Bitcoin all jumped as tensions cooled just enough to spark a risk-on move.
Today, weāre diving into the last-minute tax moves that actually matter, and how a quick review could put real money back in your pocket. Plus, Artemis II returns home after sending astronauts farther than humans have ever traveled from Earth.
Also: Meta drops a new AI model, Goldman doubles down on the trend, and youāll never guess who wants to get paid in Bitcoin.
Letās dive in! š
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THE MAIN EVENT
Last-Minute Tax Moves That Actually Pay Off šø
Weāre down to the wire. Tax Day hits next Wednesday, and if you havenāt filed yet, this is your last chance to make moves that can put real money back in your pocket.
The good news: taxes are one of the rare areas of personal finance where a solid weekend cleanup can save you thousands. The bad news: the clock matters, and waiting too long can turn a manageable bill into an expensive one.
Letās focus on the real levers.
The Deadline Has Teeth
April 15 is more than a paperwork cutoff. Itās your last real opportunity to influence your tax bill.
Most importantly:
IRA or HSA Contributions: You can still contribute for the 2025 tax year until the April 15 deadline, which may lower your taxable income.
Extensions: Filing an extension gives you until October 15, 2026 to submit your paperwork, helping you avoid the much steeper late-filing penalty.
Estimated Taxes: You may need to make your first 2026 estimated tax payment if you have a side hustle or freelance income.
That extension point matters more than people think.
Late Filing Penalty: 5% per month (max 25%).
Late Payment Penalty: 0.5% per month.
The Math: Filing late is 10 times more expensive than paying late.
In other words, if you cannot pay in full, donāt freeze. File, pay what you can, and look into an IRS payment plan for the rest.
The Checklist Most People Rush Past
At this point, the biggest opportunity isnāt an exotic loophole. It is catching the obvious credits and deductions that people forget when theyāre rushing.
1. High-Impact Credits (Directly Reduce Your Bill)
Child Tax Credit: Now worth up to $2,200 per qualifying child for 2025, with up to $1,700 of that being refundable.
Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC): This can be worth up to $8,046 for a family with three or more children (income limits apply, generally up to $68,675 for joint filers).
American Opportunity Credit: Worth up to $2,500 per student for eligible college costs.
Energy-Efficient Upgrades: Credits worth up to $1,200 for weatherization (doors/windows) and up to $2,000 for heat pumps or biomass stoves.
Clean Energy Credit: Solar, battery storage, or similar upgrades may qualify for a 30% credit with no dollar limit.
2. Missed Deductions (Reduce Taxable Income)
Student Loan Interest: Up to $2,500, even if you don't itemize.
HSA/IRA Contributions: Made before the April 15 deadline.
Standard Deduction: For 2025, itās significantly higher: $15,750 for singles and $31,500 for married couples.
Seniors: If you are 65 or older, a new 2025 deduction allows an additional $6,000 off your taxable income (phasing out at $75,000 income).
3. Homeowners & High-Tax States
The Ownership Audit: If you itemize, make sure you review mortgage interest, property taxes, and home equity loan interest (if used for improvements). Don't forget discount points from a recent purchase or refinance, and receipts for energy-efficient upgrades like heat pumps or windows.
The SALT Cap: The limit for State and Local Tax deductions was quadrupled to $40,000 for 2025 (for those with income under $500,000).
4. New Deductions In 2025
No Tax on Tips: You can now deduct up to $25,000 in qualified tip income. This is available to workers in customarily tipped roles (hospitality, delivery, etc.) with a MAGI under $150,000 ($300,000 if filing jointly).
No Tax on Overtime: You can deduct the "premium" portion of your pay (the extra 50% from "time-and-a-half" wages) up to $12,500 ($25,000 for joint filers). This applies to non-exempt employees under the same $150k/$300k income thresholds.
A Few Tips Before You Hit Submit
File for Free: IRS Free File is available to anyone with an Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) of $89,000 or less. If you are above that limit, you can still use Free File Fillable Forms. Military families can use MilTax for free regardless of income.
E-file and Direct Deposit: This remains the fastest route to your refund.
Payment Strategy: IRS payment processors charge a fee of 1.75% when paying by card. If you have a card that rewards 2% or more, you can actually pocket a small gain while paying your bill.
Extension ā Free Pass: An extension gives you more time to file, but not more time to pay. Any tax owed is still due by April 15.
If Youāre Getting A Refund, Donāt Waste The Gift
Refunds are averaging $3,571 this season, an 11% jump from last year. A smart pecking order for that "windfall" looks like this:
Checking Buffer: Keep a small amount to prevent random expenses from hitting a credit card.
High-Interest Debt: Pay off cards or loans with double-digit interest rates first.
Emergency Fund: Top off a high-yield savings account (many are still hovering near 4-5% APY).
Invest: If your foundation is solid, put the money into long-term investments to let it compound.
MARKET MOOD
Ceasefire Sparks Major Market Rally š
Winners
Intel ($INTC) - Market Cap: $309.9B (Week-to-Date: +22.5%)
Intel caught a perfect wave of AI hype and deal momentum. Over the past week, the company teamed up with Google on next-gen AI chips, joined Elon Muskās new chip venture, and bought back a major stake in its Irish factory for $14.2B. Add in analyst upgrades and strong manufacturing progress, and investors started believing the turnaround story again in a big way.
Applied Materials ($AMAT) - Market Cap: $315.7B (Week-to-Date: +14.2%)
Applied Materials jumped after unveiling new tools for sub-2nm chips, the cutting edge of AI hardware. Plus, investors rotated back into chip-making equipment as war-related fears eased. The manufacturing company sits at the center of massive spending plans from customers like TSMC. As reshoring accelerates, AMAT is one of the clearest beneficiaries.
Brown-Forman ($BF-B) - Market Cap: $14.0B (Week-to-Date: +12.8%)
Jack Danielās found itself at the center of a potential bidding war. Shares jumped after reports that Sazerac, the maker of Fireball, is exploring a deal. Thereās also interest from Pernod Ricard, a large French spirits company. Still, control sits with the Brown family, which owns 67% of the vote and rejected a deal years ago. With the stock down over 60% from its highs, investors think this time could be different.
Losers
Workday ($WDAY) ā Market Cap: $29.1B (Week-to-Date: -14.5%)
Workday got hit from two sides at once. First, founder David Duffield (a fellow Cornell engineer) sold a large chunk of stock. Then came the bigger issue. Anthropic launched AI agents that can handle complex business tasks on their own, raising real questions about whether companies will need as many paid software seats. It looks like the SaaS-pocalypse is back for a second inning.
Palantir ($PLTR) ā Market Cap: $312.1B (Week-to-Date: -12.1%)
Palantir slid after Michael Burry took aim at the companyās valuation and competitive position. He pointed out that Anthropicās revenue exploded from roughly $9B to $30B, while Palantir took two decades to reach just over $5B. His takeaway: faster, cheaper AI tools are catching up quickly, and Palantirās premium pricing could be at risk.
Phillips 66 ($PSX) ā Market Cap: $64.6B (Week-to-Date: -8.6%)
Phillips 66 dropped after revealing a $900M loss tied to hedging bets gone wrong. The company had short positions on oil and refined products, meaning it benefited if prices fell. Instead, oil spiked due to tensions in the Middle East and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. It didnāt stop there. Refining took a ~$300M hit, winter storms disrupted operations, and the company had to post $3B in collateral. Now thatās risk management gone wrong.
OUR PARTNER: FISHER INVESTMENTS
The 15-Minute Retirement Plan
Retirement savings face two quiet threats: cash flow gaps and inflation eroding purchasing power over time. The 15-Minute Retirement Plan helps investors with $1,000,000 or more account for both and build a portfolio designed to last the distance.
CHART OF THE WEEK
Inflation Expectations Swing With Every Oil Move š¢ļø
This chart shows how fast prices exploded after the Iran conflict. Jet fuel is up +95%, heating oil +68%, and WTI crude (the main U.S. oil benchmark) +66%.
Energy is the inflation driver: That spike is why March CPI is expected to jump nearly +1.0% month over month, up from +0.3% in February.
But itās already spreading: Fertilizer is up +31% and palm oil +20%, which can push food prices higher next.
Importantly, this is a supply shock: It is being driven by conflict and oil flows, not overheated consumer demand.
Fortunately, the U.S.-Iran ceasefire sparked a sharp reversal. On Wednesday, stocks rallied, oil dropped, and bond yields fell as inflation fears eased.
For investors, this is the whole game.
If the truce holds and oil keeps falling, inflation likely cools, the Fed has room to cut rates later this year, and risk assets win.
If the conflict flares back up, this chart becomes your inflation and investing roadmap.
FAST FACTS
Tariffs, Tollbooths, and Tech Bets āæ
š¢ļø Trump threatens 50% Iran-linked tariffs: The White House says any nation supplying Iran with weapons could face immediate 50% duties, putting China and Russia squarely in the marketās crosshairs. [Read]
āæ Iran builds a Bitcoin tollbooth: Tehran reportedly wants $1 per barrel from tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz, with payments in crypto. [Read]
š¤ Meta upgrades its AI game: Meta just launched Muse Spark, a new in-house model that it says closes much of the gap with OpenAI and Anthropic. [Read]
š Musk eyes a mega-merger: After quickly merging SpaceX and xAI, investors are already speculating about the next wild combo: Tesla plus SpaceX. [Read]
š§ Goldman says AI has legs: Goldman sees AI spending as early- to mid-cycle, with semis and cybersecurity still looking like prime āpicks and shovelsā plays. [Read]
š³ Gen Z swipes for survival: More than 25% of Gen Z adults opened a new credit card in the past year, the highest rate of any generation. Nearly 40% are doing so to have a "financial cushion." [Read]
š HELOCs come with a catch: Homeowners are sitting on $34T in equity, but tapping it got trickier. Many lenders now require huge upfront draws, which can raise delinquency risk. [Read]
Thanks For Reading!
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DISCLAIMER: The information provided in this newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets. All opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change without notice. Please do your own research or consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
MENTIONS: $INTC ( ā² 4.7% ) $AMAT ( ā² 3.13% ) $BF.B ( ā² 12.89% ) $WDAY ( ā¼ 5.13% ) $PLTR ( ā¼ 7.3% ) $PSX ( ā¼ 4.13% )






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