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- š° 5 Fact Friday: The Great American Unloading
š° 5 Fact Friday: The Great American Unloading
The International Monetary Fund just issued a reality checkāand while itās not as grim as the Atlanta Fedās numbers, itās definitely not bullish on the U.S. either.
Hey Money Maniacs,
After weeks of trade drama, things have finally cooled offāat least a little.
Markets caught a bid as talks of a U.S.-India trade deal gained steam. Plus, Trump walked back his Powell threats after calling him a āmajor loser.ā So the Fed chairās job is safe... for now.
Thatās shifted attention back to earnings, guidance, and whether corporate America can hold the line in the face of rising tariffs.
But the IMF just slashed its U.S. growth forecast and raised the odds of a recession. And executives from 3M to Kimberly-Clark are already blaming tariffs for weaker outlooks.
Weāll unpack all of that, the rise of the āSell Americaā trade, why splitting your retirement savings between Roth and Traditional is a savvy move, and how to rejoin the workforce if your second act is calling.
Letās dive in!
OUR PARTNER: RYSE
Big Tech Has Spent Billions Acquiring AI Smart Home Startups
The pattern is clear: when innovative companies successfully integrate AI into everyday products, tech giants pay billions to acquire them.
Google paid $3.2B for Nest.
Amazon spent $1.2B on Ring.
Generac spent $770M on EcoBee.
Now, a new AI-powered smart home company is following their exact path to acquisitionābut is still available to everyday investors at just $1.90 per share.
With proprietary technology that connects window coverings to all major AI ecosystems, this startup has achieved what big tech wants most: seamless AI integration into daily home life.
Over 10 patents, 200% year-over-year growth, and a forecast to 5x revenue this year ā this company is moving fast to seize the smart home opportunity.
The acquisition pattern is predictable. The opportunity to get in before it happens is not.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Email may contain forward-looking statements. See US Offering for details. Informational purposes only.
ECONOMY
1. IMF Downgrade Fuels āSell Americaā Trade š
The International Monetary Fund just issued a reality checkāand while itās not as grim as the Atlanta Fedās numbers, itās definitely not bullish on the U.S. either.
In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF slashed its 2025 U.S. growth forecast from 2.7% to just 1.8%. Thatās a 33% downgrade and well below the global average of 2.8%.
It also expects U.S. inflation to hit 3% by yearās end, driven by rising import costs from tariffs and sticky services prices. And the probability of a recession? Up from 25% to 37%. Still not the base caseābut hard to ignore.
In other words, stagflation risk is real.
Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas blames policy whiplash. Businesses are stuck in limboāunsure whether to onshore production, hike prices, or simply wait it out. Thatās frozen investment, and the ripple effects are spreading.
Canadaās 2025 outlook dropped from 2% to 1.4%. Mexico is now expected to shrink by 0.3%. China is stalling at 4%, and Europe and Japan are idling on empty.
Whatās different this time? The world isnāt fleeing to the U.S. for safetyāitās fleeing from it.
The āSell Americaā trade is gaining steam. U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar are all seeing outflows. Meanwhile, investors are rotating into hard assets.
Gold cracked $3,500 for the first time ever, and Bitcoin surged to $93,000 in a decisive break from tech.
Bottom Line: Global growth isnāt dead, but itās slowing. And for now, Wall Streetās waving goodbye to red, white, and blue.
STOCKS
2. Earnings Get A Tariff-Sized Haircut āļø
Earnings season is in full swingāand between margin pressure, political crosswinds, and a whole lot of C-suite spin, the trends are starting to emerge.
Letās start with Tesla $TSLA ( ā² 3.5% ).
The EV giant delivered 13% fewer vehicles in Q1, saw auto revenue fall 20%, and posted a 71% drop in net income.
And yet⦠the stock popped anyway. Because earnings are about the past, and with Musk, itās always about the future.
In peak Elon fashion, he promised robotaxis by June, a million humanoid robots per year by 2030, and a future where Tesla is the most valuable company in the world.
But with brand sentiment hitting all-time lows, investors may want to see results before placing their pre-order.
Over at Google $GOOG ( ā² 2.38% ), cloud growth cooled slightly while strength in AI and YouTube kept the engine running. Profits jumped 40% and revenue topped $90B for the quarter.
Boeing $BA ( ā² 2.26% ) offered a surprise revenue beat thanks to a jump in deliveries. IBM $IBM ( ā¼ 6.58% ) surpassed expectations and reaffirmed its full-year guidance.
Chipotle $CMG ( ā² 1.6% ), on the other hand, missed revenue expectations and reported its first same-store sales decline since 2020. Some are calling it a āburrito indicatorā of potential consumer stress.
Meanwhile, tariff tremors are starting to ripple. 3M $MMM ( ā² 2.07% ) and Kimberly-Clark $KMB ( ā¼ 0.8% ) both lowered forecasts, blaming rising import costs.
Regardless of actual tariff impacts, expect more companies to play this āget-out-of-jail-freeā card. By lowering expectations today (under the guise of tariffs), they can either outperform later or soften the blow of future underperformance.
Itās a time-tested strategy, and one weāll likely see plenty more of as earnings season rolls on.
OUR PARTNER: MODE MOBILE
This tech company grew 32,481%..
No, it's not Nvidia. It's Mode Mobile, 2023ās fastest-growing software company according to Deloitte.
Nasdaq ticker $MODE securedāinvest at $0.26/share before their share price changes on 5/1.
*An intent to IPO is no guarantee that an actual IPO will occur. Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.modemobile.com.
*The Deloitte rankings are based on submitted applications and public company database research.
PERSONAL FINANCE
3. Why You Want Both Roth And Traditional šø
Want to retire with options? Then donāt pick a tax sideāplay both.
Having both a Roth and a Traditional retirement account is one of the most underrated strategies in personal finance.
Itās not just about hedging against future tax changes (though thatās a big part). Itās about having the flexibility to control your income and your tax bill.
Why Itās A Smart Combo
š Tax Flexibility: You can toggle between taxable (Traditional) and tax-free (Roth) income as needed.
š Lower Your Lifetime Tax Bill: Strategically draw from both to stay in lower brackets.
ā³ Skip RMD Surprises: Roth IRAs donāt have required withdrawals, giving you more control over your finances.
š§¾ Better Estate Planning: Roths pass to heirs tax-free, while Traditionals come with a tax tab.
How To Use Them Together
Start with your current tax bracket:
If youāre in a higher bracket now, lean into Traditional contributions to reduce taxable income today. Then tap that account in retirement, when your rate may be lower.
If youāre in a lower bracket now, prioritize Roth contributions and lock in tax-free growth while your tax bill is light.
Reevaluate each year depending on your income, tax bracket, and whether you're getting good value for paying taxes now (Roth) versus deferring them (Traditional).
If you balance your contributions between the two, youāll have more control in retirement. For example, say the 12% bracket ends at $50,000 for a single filer:
Withdraw up to $50K from your Traditional account and stay in the 12% bracket.
Need more cash? Use your Roth funds tax-freeāwithout bumping into the next bracket.
This combo also hedges against future tax policy swings. If rates rise, your Roth becomes more valuable. If they drop, you already shielded income via Traditional contributions. Either way, youāve got a strategy built to flex.
And since Roth IRAs do not have required minimum distributions, youāre not forced to pull money you donāt need. This can help preserve assets and manage taxes late in life.
Bottom Line: You donāt need to guess what tax policy will look like in 2050. A blended approach gives you optionsāand thatās the real retirement flex.
PERSONAL FINANCE
4. Back To Work After 50? Here's Your Toolkit š§°
Thinking about heading back to work in your 50s, 60s, or even 70s? Youāre not aloneāand youāre not out of options.
Whether youāre looking for structure, extra income, or just a break from daytime TV, a growing number of resources are making it easier to re-enter the job market later in life.
šļø Government Support
Programs like the Senior Community Service Employment Program offer part-time, subsidized roles at nonprofits and public agencies for low-income adults 55+. Youāll earn while building skillsāand ideally transition into long-term work.
š©āš» Free Coaching + Job Boards
The AARP BACK TO WORK 50+ initiative offers career coaching, resume help, and job search workshops. Their Job Board also filters for age-friendly employers like Humana.
š Local Help + Upskilling
Libraries and community colleges offer free or low-cost classes (digital skills, bookkeeping, etc.). One-Stop Career Centers provide resume help, job fairs, and referralsāmany with programs geared specifically toward older job seekers. Online resources like Courseraās audit mode or Google Career Certificates can help.
š” Smart Tips
Network like itās 1999 and 2025. Reconnect with former colleagues, tap your alumni group, contact Age Friendly Employers, and use LinkedIn to signal you're open to work. Focus on sectors that value experience, like healthcare, customer service, or consulting.
Bottom Line: Youāre not starting from scratch. Youāre starting from experience. And in a tight labor market? Thatās your secret weapon.
STOCKS
5. Guess That Stock šµļøāāļø
This company is everywhereāon your desktop, in your inbox, behind your AI chatbot, and possibly the reason your kid wonāt stop talking about Minecraft.
Can you guess the stock?
1. After Appleās tariff-fueled tumble, this firm briefly became the most valuable public company on Earth, hovering around a $3 trillion valuation.
2. Its empire spans productivity software, cloud computing (Azure), social media (LinkedIn), workplace tools (Teams), and gamingāthanks to a $69B megadeal that brought Call of Duty and World of Warcraft under its roof.
3. Its AI lead is fueled by a nearly $14B investment in OpenAI, giving it early access to GPT models that power everything from Copilot to Bing Chat.
4. Itās the worldās second-largest cloud provider, behind only Amazonās AWS, pulling in $80 billion a year while growing roughly 20%.
5. Down just 9% in 2025, itās the second-best-performing Magnificent Seven stockātrailing only Meta.
Got a guess? Tap here to reveal the answer ā
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DISCLAIMER: The information provided in this newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets. All opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change without notice. Please do your own research or consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
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