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- đ° Maniac Minute: Gold Explodes As Trust Implodes
đ° Maniac Minute: Gold Explodes As Trust Implodes
Last week, the 10Y Treasury yield spiked sharply, the U.S. dollar slid to a near 3-year low, and gold hit an all-time high on the back of its strongest five-day rally since 2020.
Good morning, Maniacs!
Tariffs, bond tantrums, and last-minute carveouts sent markets spinning all week. One minute itâs doom and gloom. The next, tech is ripping and goldâs breaking all-time highsâtwice.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins even stepped in with a reminder: the Fed stands ready to act if markets lock up. Itâs the latest sign that bond yields are raising alarms, and a reason to believe the tariff drama might wrap up by summer.
And donât forget: Tax Day is Tuesday.
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Letâs dive in!

Market Recap đ
Letâs call last week what it was: chaos in a three-piece suit.
The S&P 500 notched its best week since 2023, closing up 5.7%. But donât let the green fool youâvolatility is raging beneath the surface.
The 10-year Treasury yield spiked sharply, the U.S. dollar slid to a near 3-year low, and gold hit an all-time high on the back of its strongest five-day rally since 2020.
Whether itâs panic or foreign positioning, the direction of flows is clear: out of traditional American âsafe-havenâ assets and into gold. If the tariff war drags on, expect the precious metal to keep shining.
That said, Wednesday may have marked a turning point.
The 90-day tariff pause lit a fire under stocksâespecially techâand signaled that the Trump Put might be back in play. In my view, the worst-case scenario is now off the table.
But Friday reminded us weâre not out of the woods just yet.
Inflation expectations jumped to 1980s-era highs, and consumer sentiment plunged to its lowest reading since mid-2022. Clearly, Americans are bracing for more painâand itâll take more than one good headline to calm those nerves.

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Winners & Losers đ
Even with markets swinging like a wrecking ball, a few stocks managed to stand tallâwhile others got caught in the tariff crossfire. AI darlings soared, insurers flexed their fundamentals, and oil stocks⌠well, they leaked.
Winners
1. Nvidia ($NVDA) â Market Cap: $2.71T (+17.6%)
Nvidia shares rocketed on Wednesdayâs pause in reciprocal tariffs, and even with some volatility, the week closed deep in the green. Analysts say the chokehold $NVDA ( âź 6.87% ) has on AI GPUs may let it pass along price hikes. Plus, with possible tariff exemptions for electronics announced Friday, there could be more room to run this week.
2. UnitedHealth ($UNH) â Market Cap: $548.3B (+14.2%)
Health insurers got a clean bill of financial health after regulators bumped 2026 Medicare Advantage payment rates by 5%âwell above expectations. That rate hike supercharged $UNH ( Ⲡ0.25% ) , and Jim Cramer thinks it may be just the beginning. When uncertainty hits, âboring but Americanâ might be the hottest trade on the tape.
Losers
1. Occidental Petroleum ($OXY) â Market Cap: $37.0B (-7.1%)
Itâs been a brutal stretch for $OXY ( Ⲡ1.72% ) . Falling oil prices and a pair of Wall Street downgrades have left the stock limping. OPEC is flooding the market, and WTI crude is down nearly $10 in just two weeks. With higher debt and weaker cash flow, Occidental is quickly falling behind the rest of the energy pack.
2. AbbVie ($ABBV) â Market Cap: $309.7B (-6.4%)
Pharma stocks took a gut punch after Trump warned that drug imports could be next on the tariff list. $ABBV ( âź 2.9% ) slid as investors braced for new levies on exports from âtax havenâ countries like Ireland. Sector-specific tariffs could arrive as early as this week. With AbbVieâs global supply chain in the crosshairs, traders didnât wait to hit sell.

12 Red Flags That Will Get You Audited đ¨
The IRS isnât lurking behind every tax returnâbut some filings do get extra attention.
Think of it like airport security: most people breeze through, but if youâre wearing three coats and sweating profusely, you're getting pulled aside.
Here are the 12 biggest audit red flags to avoid:
đ¸ Big Deductions on Small Incomes
If you claim $20K in charitable donations on a $30K income, the IRS is gonna squint. Same with massive business expenses or medical deductions that seem wildly out of step with what you earn.
đ˘ Round Numbers Everywhere
No one spends exactly $10,000 on travel or $5,000 on office supplies. When every figure ends in a zero, it looks like youâre guessingâand thatâs a fast track to a closer look.
đ Business Losses Every Year
Running a business that never makes money? The IRS might call it a hobby. And if it's a hobby, those juicy deductions disappear.
đ Claiming 100% Business Use of a Car
Unless you drive a company-branded van and leave it parked at the office, the IRS wonât believe your car is purely for business. No airtight mileage log = audit risk.
đ Home Office Stretching the Truth
Claiming a home office is legitâif itâs used exclusively and regularly for work. But a laptop on your kitchen table doesnât count.
đ Foreign Income or Accounts
Got money overseas? The IRS wants to know. Failing to report foreign income or neglecting FBAR/FACTA rules is a major red flag, especially for high earners.
đ Mismatched or Missing Info
If your return doesnât line up with what your employer, bank, or brokerage sent the IRS (W-2s, 1099s, etc.), itâs an automatic red flag. Same for typos in your name, SSN, or filing status.
đ§Ž Math Errors and Typos
Believe it or not, basic math mistakes can trigger an auditâespecially if they conveniently lower what you owe. Use software or a tax pro to double-check everything.
â ď¸ Filing Amended Returns (Especially to Lower Taxes)
Changing your return is fine. But doing it frequentlyâor in a way that suspiciously slashes your tax billâmight make the IRS wonder what youâre hiding.
đ° Large Refunds and NOLs
Huge refund claims or net operating losses (especially when carried over from prior years) are a magnet for IRS scrutiny. Youâll need documentation to back it up.
đşď¸ Industry or Regional Outliers
The IRS has benchmarking tools. If your income or deductions are way off the average for your zip code or industry, you might get flaggedâeven if youâre telling the truth.
đ Big Income Swings
If your income suddenly spikes or drops from one year to the next, that volatility can trigger a second look. And while weâre at it: yes, high earners do get audited more. If you cross $500,000 in income, expect an extra look.
Bottom Line:
The IRS isnât out to get you, but they will investigate numbers that donât make sense.
Be honest, be accurate, and keep good records. Because if you ever do get that audit letter, âI didnât knowâ isnât going to cut it.

Worth The Read đ
âď¸ A rapid-fire recap of the trade war shows just how quickly tensions snowballedâthis one's perfect if you need the summary.
đ Hereâs who got hit hardest by tariffsâfrom technology stocks to oil prices to the bond market. All 11 S&P sectors fell, and volatility is now at pandemic-era highs.
đ The VIX just had its 5th biggest spike since 2014. History says that could be bullish for long-term stock returns. Fear = opportunity?
đľ Where to stash cash in 2025 if markets stay rocky. Money-market funds are yielding over 4%âbut not all are created equal.
đ Social Security walks back call center cuts after outrage from seniors and lawmakers. The agency will now keep full phone support.
đ´ Yuan hits lowest level since 2007 as China weakens its currency to offset the tariff hit and make exports more attractive.
đ˛ Score a Vegas suite for $149âby sitting through a 2-hour Hilton timeshare pitch. Turns out, cheap vacations still exist⌠if youâre willing to pay in patience.

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The Week Ahead đ
Itâs a quiet week on the economic frontâbut donât expect smooth sailing. Wall Streetâs still on edge, and earnings from Netflix, TSMC, and a fleet of banks could add fuel to the fire.
Monday
Earnings from Goldman Sachs and M&T Bank
Tuesday
Tax Day: Filing deadline for 2024 returns
Earnings from Johnson & Johnson, Bank of America, Citigroup, PNC, United Airlines, Interactive Brokers, and Albertsons
Wednesday
Earnings from ASML, Abbott, Prologis, U.S. Bancorp, Kinder Morgan, and Travelers
March Retail Sales (est. 1.3% MoM, 2.6% YoY)
Thursday
Earnings from TSMC, UnitedHealth, Netflix, American Express, Blackstone, D.R. Horton, State Street, Fifth Third, and Ally Financial
March Housing Starts (est. 1.41M)
March Building Permits (preliminary est. 1.46M)
Friday
No major reports

Thatâs it for today! If you made it this far, youâre exactly why I do this.
All I ask for? A little feedback. Your comments, questions, and suggestions help me improveâand shape future editions.
Just hit reply or leave a quick review below. It helps more than you know.
Keep stacking,
The Money Maniac đ¸
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